- April 24, 2025
For an industry built on carbon, the idea of going net-zero may sound paradoxical. Yet, the oil and gas sector—long viewed as the bedrock of global energy—now finds itself at a critical juncture. Pressured by climate imperatives, shifting investor expectations, and increasingly stringent regulations, major players are pledging bold net-zero commitments. But can an industry inherently linked to carbon truly decarbonize? Or is net-zero just a high-stakes balancing act between innovation, offsets, and optics?
The Carbon Conundrum
The oil industry contributes significantly to global greenhouse gas emissions—both directly, through its operations, and indirectly, via the end use of its products. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), oil and gas are responsible for nearly half of the world’s energy-related CO₂ emissions. With the global spotlight intensifying on climate change, these numbers can no longer be brushed aside.
Many oil giants—Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, and even state-owned entities like Saudi Aramco—have announced net-zero ambitions for mid-century. These promises are not merely moral gestures; they are responses to a seismic shift in the energy narrative. Investors, insurers, governments, and even customers are demanding climate responsibility. Still, skeptics question whether these goals are truly transformative or simply PR-driven.
Decarbonization: What It Really Involves
Achieving net-zero for an oil company is far more complex than installing a few solar panels or offsetting emissions through tree planting. It requires rethinking the entire value chain—from exploration and production to refining and distribution. Here's what that entails:
Operational Efficiency: Reducing emissions from day-to-day operations through electrification, methane leak detection, and low-emission drilling technologies.
Carbon Capture, Utilization & Storage (CCUS): Capturing carbon emissions before they reach the atmosphere and either reusing or storing them underground. While promising, CCUS remains expensive and underdeveloped at scale.
Fuel Switching: Transitioning company operations and customer offerings from high-carbon to lower-carbon fuels—such as biofuels, hydrogen, and even renewables.
Business Diversification: Investing in clean energy startups, wind farms, solar infrastructure, and battery technologies to create parallel revenue streams less dependent on fossil fuels.
Offsets: Purchasing carbon credits from forestry or renewable energy projects to "balance" emissions that cannot be avoided.
Greenwashing or Genuine Transition?
One of the main criticisms of oil industry net-zero targets is the lack of transparency and consistency. Many goals exclude emissions from the use of sold products—Scope 3 emissions—which often account for more than 80% of a company’s total carbon footprint. Without addressing these, net-zero targets remain incomplete.
Moreover, offset-heavy strategies are facing increased scrutiny. Critics argue that offsets can delay meaningful action, creating a false sense of progress. While nature-based solutions like reforestation have value, they cannot compensate for continued large-scale emissions indefinitely.
That said, some companies are genuinely investing in transformation. BP has committed to reducing oil and gas production by 40% by 2030. Equinor has pivoted toward offshore wind. TotalEnergies is investing heavily in battery storage and solar. These moves suggest that for some, the shift is more than just symbolic.
The Role of Technology
Technology will be the linchpin in this transformation. CCUS, green hydrogen, AI-powered energy management, and even blockchain for emission tracking are evolving at breakneck speed. But adoption isn’t uniform—and significant R&D investment is still required to scale these technologies cost-effectively.
Startups and clean-tech innovators also play a critical role. By collaborating with or acquiring these players, traditional oil companies can gain access to disruptive technologies faster than by building them in-house. Strategic partnerships between oil majors and tech firms are already starting to reshape the future energy equation.
Policy and Market Forces
Decarbonization is not solely a technological or corporate decision—it’s also a matter of policy and economics. Carbon pricing, ESG regulations, disclosure norms, and international agreements like the Paris Accord are setting clearer rules of the game.
Simultaneously, financial institutions are reassessing risk. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has called climate risk "investment risk" and is reshaping portfolios adecarbonization may find themselves marginalized.
On the demand side, electric vehicles, clean energy alternatives, and shifting consumer preferences are eroding oil’s dominance. Even oil-rich countries are hedging their bets: the UAE, for example, is heavily investing in clean energy, including the world’s largest solar park.
So, Is Net-Zero Realistic?
Realistic? Yes. Easy? Not at all.
The oil industry’s path to net-zero will be uneven, expensive, and politically fraught. Some companies will lead; others may resist until compelled by market forces. The success of this transition hinges on a mix of sincere leadership, regulatory alignment, technological breakthroughs, and public accountability.
What is clear is that business-as-usual is no longer a viable option. The industry must reconcile profitability with planetary limits—or risk being left behind in a world that demands cleaner, smarter, and more responsible energy solutions.
Conclusion
Net-zero is not just a buzzword—it’s a litmus test for the future relevance of the oil industry. Companies that approach decarbonization with urgency, innovation, and honesty may not only survive but thrive in the new energy economy. Those who don’t may soon discover that the cost of inaction far outweighs the price of transformation.